Next week it is set to be a busy one for the pound against the Australian dollar. Because the pound managed to remain the highest currency value throughout 2009 and not fall below the euro as some had predicted, the prospect of the British pound as an investment is promising. If history repeats itself, then the pound will continue to remain at the top of world currencies. The British pound may rise following the BBC debate between British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and opposition leader and head of Labor party Jeremy Corbyn. Therefore, without great surprises when he sold abruptly in reaction to the news. The first half of June is ending on the weak basement.
Investors now look forward to a busy day on the euro zone’s economic calendar with the release of the OECD’s economic projection, which is expected to strengthen concerns over the economic slowdown. They worry that a conservative minority government would be weaker in Brexit negotiations, which start on June 19 and are to last for at least the next two years. Investors will have a lot to digest as the week progresses. Meanwhile, they could look towards the release of public sector net debt data. Pound investors fail to lose the December 12 elections, with conservatives widely expected to win.
Traders are further net long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a strong GBPJPY-bearish contrarian trading bias. Traders are further net-short yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a strong EURGBP-bullish bias of contrarian trading. They are looking forward and see a future in which, regardless of what election results the Tory party’s direction made, the next British prime minister is going to be pro-Brexit and therefore willing to take the necessary steps to avoid a no deal, difficult Brexit come October. They are also long-standing compared to yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a strong polarization of GBPUSD-bearish trading contrarian. They should be warned that the recent trend of the British pound weakness may continue next week, at least according to recent positioning shifts. Looking to the future, they will be closely watching the debate and post-match polls to assess the degree of popularity Mr. Johnson was able to later acquire the head-to-head interview.
The Bank of England has been very aggressive in cutting interest rates back to the lowest in 57 years, and they are committed to avoiding deflation from a recession. At the beginning of 2018, which seemed destined to increase rates several times in 2018, however, a series of soft economic data outside the United Kingdom put rate hikes on hold. It notes that their prediction is lower than some projections from other election forecasters because they do not foresee that conservatives will go like this in London as some polls believe. First, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will set its interest rate.
In fact, the markets moved very quickly to prices in a Tory majority. They remain optimistic that US inflation is set to rise under a Trump presidency, with the odds of a December rate hike from the Fed climbing once again. The foreign exchange markets will scrutinize Bank Thursday of the interest rate statement in England for clues about the prospect of an increase in interest rates both in August and November.
Since the great fall of the pound on last year’s Brexit vote, inflation has risen faster than wages all over Britain, eroding people’s living standards. higher inflation also eats away the exporting benefits will have from the lower kennel. The UK economy still faces a lot of risks, but there is much more hope for recovery at the end of 2009, then there was at the beginning. The global economy has begun to recover slowly and the UK economy is expected to outperform its global peers due to the Bank of England and their proactive behavior. The UK economy is far ahead of the rest of Europe and the US and their failing economies will push the British pound into recovery at a faster pace. Expected Christmas shopping growth for 2009 will be a good indicator of how the economy is coming with its recovery. five months the annualized Gertjan salary growth of Vlieghe, a reason to hike last year, fell to the weakest level in a year.